GOVCON WEEKLY

Canadian Procurement Pulse: CANSEC SPECIAL EDITION

Date: May 27 2026

The Canadian defence supply chain runs deeper than the prime contractor list suggests. Across 8,536 organizations in the underlying dataset, observed procurement value totals $102 billion, with another $6.7 billion in defence-relevant grant funding placed alongside it. The more interesting number sits underneath the headline contracts. There are 2,880 organizations holding Controlled Goods Program registration, and 2,458 of them have no observed prime contract. That is a cleared, defence-ready bench sitting one teaming agreement away from the work.

We have created a comprehensive knowledge graph of every participant in the Canadian defence supply chain, including their ownership, the contracts they have one, grants they have received, and their capabilities. This graph provides real visibility into what our supply chain looks like, the gaps, and the opportunities.

A note on the data

  • Cumulative, not annual: Figures reflect observed values across the past 10 years of procurement disclosure, grant records, and Controlled Goods registrations.

  • Coverage gaps: Classified spend, foreign military sales, and call-ups against standing offers are undercounted. The data is a directional market map, not a financial statement.

  • Data limitations: This is published government data - and therefore, there are flaws as is true with all government data. We use our system to mitigate them, but ultimately, there can be issues such as misclassified contracts or duplicate vendors.

Where the Spend Lands

Aerospace and marine dominate. Together they account for $61.4 billion in observed procurement, more than every other category combined. Platform-heavy categories carry the dollars. Services and sustainment categories carry the supplier counts.

Category

Vendors with Procurement

Procurement

Grants

Aerospace and Space Systems

213

$41.22B

$5.09B

Marine and Shipbuilding

146

$20.17B

$37.9M

Weapons, Munitions and Effects

30

$7.61B

$6.5M

Ground Vehicles and Mobility

99

$7.53B

$88.3M

Industrial, Commercial Supplies

514

$3.04B

$4.3M

Defence Engineering and Technical Services

215

$2.76B

$175.3M

In-Service Support, MRO and Logistics

509

$2.73B

$5.1M

Professional, Business and Specialised Services

615

$2.55B

$81.8M

Cyber and Information Security

79

$1.29B

$438.6M

AI, Software and Data Systems

191

$1.27B

$59.4M

C4ISR and Communications

119

$939.5M

$165.8M

Soldier Systems and Protection

88

$500.4M

$3.3M

Sensors, EO/IR, Radar and Sonar

95

$424.8M

$258.5M

Training, Simulation and Wargaming

120

$377.3M

$228.0M

Advanced Materials and Manufacturing

74

$184.8M

$28.9M

A few patterns worth pulling out of that table:

  • Professional services is the broadest competitive field: 615 vendors splitting $2.55B, the largest active supplier count of any category in the data. Average spend per vendor is under $4.2M, which makes it the most accessible category for new entrants without a platform anchor.

  • MRO and sustainment is a sleeper category: 509 vendors and $2.73B in observed spend, nearly matching engineering services in both supplier breadth and dollar value. Fleet life-cycle work is quietly one of the largest competitive markets in defence, and it gets almost no policy attention compared to platform procurement.

  • Industrial supplies has the lowest dollars-per-vendor ratio: $3.04B spread across 514 vendors, or roughly $5.9M each. Compare that to aerospace at $193M per vendor or marine at $138M per vendor. Industrial supplies is where the supplier base is widest and the individual contracts are smallest, which is consistent with a commodity category serving every department.

The Ownership Split

This is where the numbers do not line up with the political conversation.

Ownership

Companies

Procurement

Grants

Controlled Goods

Foreign-owned

1,459

$55.90B

$1.63B

395

Canadian-owned

6,704

$45.33B

$5.04B

2,406

Uncertain

373

$775.7M

$25.3M

79

  • Foreign-owned firms hold the dollars: Roughly 17 percent of the supplier base and around 55 percent of observed procurement value.

  • Canadian-owned firms hold the bench: Six times the supplier count, three times the grant capture, and six times the Controlled Goods registrations of their foreign-owned counterparts.

  • The pots flow to different populations: Foreign-owned firms convert their presence into contracts; Canadian-owned firms convert their presence into grants and clearances.

Worth flagging the distinction before moving on. Many of the foreign-owned firms in this dataset operate substantial Canadian facilities and Canadian workforces. They are foreign-owned, not foreign-located, and they deliver real industrial benefit in Canada. That nuance matters for any policy conversation about Canadian content thresholds, and for any contractor trying to position offset value to a prime.

Concentration at the Top

Weapons and ground vehicles are the most concentrated strategic categories in the data. Aerospace, despite carrying the largest dollar total, is meaningfully broader.

Category

Vendors

Procurement

Top 5 Share

HHI

Weapons, Munitions and Effects

30

$7.61B

96.5%

6,223

Ground Vehicles and Mobility

99

$7.53B

93.7%

3,119

Marine and Shipbuilding

146

$20.17B

89.9%

2,953

Defence Engineering and Technical Services

215

$2.76B

76.5%

2,025

Industrial, Commercial Supplies

514

$3.04B

53.0%

1,330

Aerospace and Space Systems

213

$41.22B

62.8%

1,203

Sensors, EO/IR, Radar and Sonar

95

$424.8M

57.8%

1,063

Cyber and Information Security

79

$1.29B

59.8%

1,012

AI, Software and Data Systems

191

$1.27B

47.4%

766

C4ISR and Communications

119

$939.5M

48.0%

610

Professional, Business Services

615

$2.55B

33.6%

309

Two readings of the same table:

  • The prime-heavy end: Weapons procurement runs at an HHI of 6,223, which is the kind of number antitrust regulators usually associate with monopoly conversations. Five firms hold 96.5 percent of observed value. Ground vehicles and marine are not far behind. These are categories where the supplier base looks like a small handful of integrators with a long subcontractor tail.

  • The competitive end: Professional services sits at an HHI of 309 with 615 active vendors. AI and software, C4ISR, and cyber are all in the moderately competitive range. These are the categories where new entrants still have room.

The Bench

Back to the headline number. The Controlled Goods Program register is one of the better proxies for defence-ready industrial capacity, since it captures any organization cleared to handle controlled technical data and components. There are 2,880 such organizations in the data, and 2,458 of them have not won an observed prime contract.

Category

Controlled Goods Firms

Canadian-owned

Procurement

Defence Engineering and Technical Services

463

424

$2.05B

Aerospace and Space Systems

381

293

$25.45B

Professional, Business Services

329

302

$227.8M

In-Service Support, MRO and Logistics

328

257

$1.66B

AI, Software and Data Systems

230

180

$773.3M

Marine and Shipbuilding

125

92

$4.14B

Cyber and Information Security

123

97

$464.2M

C4ISR and Communications

87

63

$283.2M

Construction and Facilities Operations

55

53

$2.03B

Weapons, Munitions and Effects

29

22

$310.5M

A few takeaways for different audiences:

  • For primes building ITB commitments: This is the long list of potential Canadian content partners. The categories with the largest cleared rosters and smallest procurement totals are the ones with the most underused capacity.

  • For SMEs without a prime relationship: This is the peer set worth knowing. Engineering and technical services in particular shows 463 cleared firms against only $2.05B in observed procurement, suggesting a wide, competitive supplier pool that has not consolidated.

  • For government policy teams: The Canadian-owned share of the Controlled Goods register sits at 84 percent. The industrial base that policy is trying to protect is mostly already cleared, mostly Canadian-owned, and mostly not winning prime contracts.

The Grant Programs Funding the Edge

Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada is the dominant funder by a wide margin, having placed $5.38 billion across 90 defence-relevant grant records. National Defence's own grant programs sit at $102.4 million, with the rest spread across NRC, Public Safety, Global Affairs, and the regional development agencies.

Grant Program

Value

Records

Strategic Aerospace and Defence Initiative (SADI)

$1.96B

38

Low Earth Orbit Satellite Capacity Agreement

$1.20B

2

Strategic Innovation Fund, Stream 1 (R&D)

$970.0M

16

Aerospace & Defence

$587.7M

7

Strategic Innovation Fund, Stream 2 (Growth)

$275.0M

2

Technology Demonstration Program

$162.0M

3

Institute for Quantum Computing

$100.0M

5

SIF, Low Earth Orbit Satellite Projects

$85.0M

1

Collaborative Science, Technology and Innovation Program

$81.2M

250

Industrial Research Assistance Program

$79.8M

243

Worth understanding what these programs actually do:

  • SADI: The workhorse aerospace and defence repayable contributions program. Has been the primary federal vehicle for major Canadian aerospace players for more than a decade, with 38 grant records totaling nearly $2 billion.

  • Strategic Innovation Fund (Streams 1 and 2): Newer and broader than SADI, with Stream 1 funding R&D and Stream 2 funding growth and scale-up. Together they have placed more than $1.2 billion in defence-relevant work.

  • Technology Demonstration Program: Smaller at $162M but targeted at industry-government collaboration on emerging defence capabilities. Three records, three big bets.

  • Institute for Quantum Computing funding: $100M across five records, reflecting Canada's commitment to a sovereign quantum capability anchored at the University of Waterloo.

  • IRAP and Collaborative Science programs: The high-volume, lower-dollar end of the system. 243 and 250 separate records respectively, doing the work of seeding small-firm capability.

  • LEO Satellite Capacity Agreement: Two records, $1.2 billion. This is the outlier. A sovereign capability commitment structured as a grant.

From Grant to Contract

The conversion data tells a story about which categories actually work as a pipeline.

Category

Grant Orgs

Also Vendors

Conversion

Converted Procurement

Construction and Facilities Operations

3

3

100.0%

$788K

Training, Simulation and Wargaming

2

2

100.0%

$6.64M

Professional, Business Services

16

14

87.5%

$45.9M

Soldier Systems and Protection

6

5

83.3%

$27.75M

Marine and Shipbuilding

20

15

75.0%

$416.4M

In-Service Support, MRO and Logistics

3

2

66.7%

$629K

Defence Engineering and Technical Services

22

14

63.6%

$1.05B

Sensors, EO/IR, Radar and Sonar

23

13

56.5%

$135.7M

C4ISR and Communications

15

8

53.3%

$49.9M

Cyber and Information Security

11

5

45.5%

$16.2M

AI, Software and Data Systems

26

11

42.3%

$17.5M

Ground Vehicles and Mobility

7

3

42.9%

$13.4M

Aerospace and Space Systems

115

43

37.4%

$4.49B

Advanced Materials and Manufacturing

15

2

13.3%

$5.48M

Reading this table:

  • Marine is the standout in absolute terms: $37.9M in grants associated with firms now holding $416M in defence procurement. That return reflects the National Shipbuilding Strategy's deliberate use of grants to build out the supplier base ahead of major builds.

  • Aerospace converts at a lower rate but at much greater scale: 115 grant recipients, 43 of which became procurement vendors, holding $4.49B in observed converted procurement. The category does the most absolute work even though it converts less efficiently than marine or engineering.

  • The cyber, AI, and C4ISR conversion rates are the ones to watch: All sit in the 40-50 percent range today, which is reasonable given how recently these have been treated as defence priorities. The conversion rates here are early indicators, not steady-state numbers.

  • Advanced materials is the conversion laggard: 13.3 percent. 15 grant recipients, only 2 of which appear in procurement. That category may be earlier in its development cycle, or it may be that domestic advanced materials production feeds non-defence buyers more readily than DND.

The Dual-Use Watchlist

The clearest signal of where the next wave of Canadian defence vendors comes from is firms that hold meaningful grants, sit on the Controlled Goods register, and have either no procurement yet or very early procurement activity. The data turns up over 40 such firms across sensors, C4ISR, cyber, AI, advanced materials, and training. The full watchlist sits in the table below. A handful warrant individual call-outs.

Names to Know

  • Cohere Inc.: Toronto-based foundation model company. $240M in grants, $0 in observed defence procurement, plus CADSI membership and Controlled Goods registration. Canadian-owned. The largest grant footprint on the entire watchlist, and the clearest sovereign AI capability bet in the dataset.

  • BlackBerry Limited: $43.9M in grants, $0 in observed defence procurement, CADSI member, Controlled Goods registered, Canadian-owned. Long positioned as a sovereign cyber and secure communications asset, but the procurement footprint has not yet caught up to the grant footprint.

  • Wescam Inc.: $225M in grants against just $4.4M in observed prime procurement. Owned by L3Harris (foreign-owned). The gap reflects Wescam's role as a sub-tier supplier feeding airborne sensor platforms rather than as a prime contractor, and its EO/IR systems are on Canadian and allied aircraft worldwide.

  • WOLF Advanced Technology Canada: Toronto-area builder of rugged compute and graphics hardware for defence platforms. $14M in grants, no observed prime procurement, Canadian-owned. Textbook profile of a Canadian-owned sub-tier supplier feeding integrators.

  • LARUS Technologies: Ottawa-based C4ISR firm with $4M in grants and $3M in procurement already booked. Canadian-owned. The cleanest example of active grant-to-contract conversion on the entire watchlist.

  • D-TA Systems Inc.: Ottawa-based sensors company with $2.4M in grants and $3.6M in procurement. Canadian-owned. Another active converter, mid-pipeline.

  • GSTS (Global Spatial Technology Solutions): Halifax-based C4ISR firm with $2.5M in grants and $4.3M in procurement. Canadian-owned. A textbook Atlantic-Canada dual-use story.

  • Bluedrop Training & Simulation: Newfoundland-based training and simulation provider with $492K in grants and $6.7M in procurement. Canadian-owned. Already converted, and arguably the model the rest of the watchlist is following.

  • GasTOPS Ltd.: Ottawa-area sensors firm with $1.4M in grants and $4.5M in procurement. Canadian-owned. Long-running specialist in machinery health monitoring for naval and aero platforms.

  • ATCO Frontec: Alberta-based facilities and remote operations provider with $130K in grants and $119M in observed procurement. Canadian-owned. The outlier on this list, included because the dual-use signal is strong but the company is already deep into the prime ecosystem.

  • École de Technologie Supérieure: Montreal university with $13.8M in C4ISR grants. The only academic entity on the immediate watchlist, reflecting the increasing role of universities as defence-relevant research partners.

Our Take

The real story here is the fact that our defence supply chain is so disconnected. There is no directory linking together every participant, be it a small dual-use company who has received government funding, or a large defence prime who receives billion dollar contracts. The ITB managers I have spoken with manage stuff from spreadsheets. The Defence primes use google like the rest of us to find potential partners.

At Publicus, we live and breath government data, and as a result, have been able to put together this comprehensive list of 8500 companies that participate in the defence supply chain using our proprietary agents and existing analytics.

All of these vendors, from Pomerleau supporting Defence Construction Canada, to Levio supporting DRDC, plays a critical role building our Canadian defence industrial base.

There are already so many orgs doing the hard work of supporting our defence ecosystem. Our intent is to figure out how best to use this data to support the folks already building here. If you are a startup, scaleup, ecosystem, civil servant, or prime, (or know one!) with ideas as to how we can best support the supply chain, please reach out. Oh, and send any investors looking to get a read on this market our way ;).

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